Suppose a channel where 0 or 1 is sent, what is probability 1 was sent given 1 was received?












0












$begingroup$


I have the following probability.




probability a $0$ is sent is $0.4$



probability a $1$ is sent is $0.6$



probability that due to noise, a $0$ is changed to a $1$ during transmission is $0.2$



probability that due to noise, a $1$ is changed to a $0$ during transmission is $0.1$




Here is what I think should be the solution:

Let $A$ be $1$ was received, $B$ be $1$ was sent



$P(B) = 0.6$



$P(A|B) = 0.6 * 0.9 = 0.54$



$P(A) = 0.6 * 0.9 + 0.4 * 0.2 = 0.62$



Thus using $$P(B|A) = frac{P(A|B)P(B)}{P(A)}$$



$P(B|A) = 52.26%$



Is my solution correct?










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$endgroup$

















    0












    $begingroup$


    I have the following probability.




    probability a $0$ is sent is $0.4$



    probability a $1$ is sent is $0.6$



    probability that due to noise, a $0$ is changed to a $1$ during transmission is $0.2$



    probability that due to noise, a $1$ is changed to a $0$ during transmission is $0.1$




    Here is what I think should be the solution:

    Let $A$ be $1$ was received, $B$ be $1$ was sent



    $P(B) = 0.6$



    $P(A|B) = 0.6 * 0.9 = 0.54$



    $P(A) = 0.6 * 0.9 + 0.4 * 0.2 = 0.62$



    Thus using $$P(B|A) = frac{P(A|B)P(B)}{P(A)}$$



    $P(B|A) = 52.26%$



    Is my solution correct?










    share|cite|improve this question











    $endgroup$















      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      I have the following probability.




      probability a $0$ is sent is $0.4$



      probability a $1$ is sent is $0.6$



      probability that due to noise, a $0$ is changed to a $1$ during transmission is $0.2$



      probability that due to noise, a $1$ is changed to a $0$ during transmission is $0.1$




      Here is what I think should be the solution:

      Let $A$ be $1$ was received, $B$ be $1$ was sent



      $P(B) = 0.6$



      $P(A|B) = 0.6 * 0.9 = 0.54$



      $P(A) = 0.6 * 0.9 + 0.4 * 0.2 = 0.62$



      Thus using $$P(B|A) = frac{P(A|B)P(B)}{P(A)}$$



      $P(B|A) = 52.26%$



      Is my solution correct?










      share|cite|improve this question











      $endgroup$




      I have the following probability.




      probability a $0$ is sent is $0.4$



      probability a $1$ is sent is $0.6$



      probability that due to noise, a $0$ is changed to a $1$ during transmission is $0.2$



      probability that due to noise, a $1$ is changed to a $0$ during transmission is $0.1$




      Here is what I think should be the solution:

      Let $A$ be $1$ was received, $B$ be $1$ was sent



      $P(B) = 0.6$



      $P(A|B) = 0.6 * 0.9 = 0.54$



      $P(A) = 0.6 * 0.9 + 0.4 * 0.2 = 0.62$



      Thus using $$P(B|A) = frac{P(A|B)P(B)}{P(A)}$$



      $P(B|A) = 52.26%$



      Is my solution correct?







      probability proof-verification conditional-probability






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      edited Dec 3 '18 at 4:48









      platty

      3,370320




      3,370320










      asked Dec 3 '18 at 4:44









      CupCup

      276




      276






















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          $begingroup$

          Not quite. $P(A | B) = 0.9$; what you wrote above is actually $P(A cap B)$. Everything else looks fine, so you should end up with $P(B mid A) = frac{0.9(0.6)}{0.62} approx 0.87$.






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













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            $begingroup$

            Not quite. $P(A | B) = 0.9$; what you wrote above is actually $P(A cap B)$. Everything else looks fine, so you should end up with $P(B mid A) = frac{0.9(0.6)}{0.62} approx 0.87$.






            share|cite|improve this answer









            $endgroup$


















              0












              $begingroup$

              Not quite. $P(A | B) = 0.9$; what you wrote above is actually $P(A cap B)$. Everything else looks fine, so you should end up with $P(B mid A) = frac{0.9(0.6)}{0.62} approx 0.87$.






              share|cite|improve this answer









              $endgroup$
















                0












                0








                0





                $begingroup$

                Not quite. $P(A | B) = 0.9$; what you wrote above is actually $P(A cap B)$. Everything else looks fine, so you should end up with $P(B mid A) = frac{0.9(0.6)}{0.62} approx 0.87$.






                share|cite|improve this answer









                $endgroup$



                Not quite. $P(A | B) = 0.9$; what you wrote above is actually $P(A cap B)$. Everything else looks fine, so you should end up with $P(B mid A) = frac{0.9(0.6)}{0.62} approx 0.87$.







                share|cite|improve this answer












                share|cite|improve this answer



                share|cite|improve this answer










                answered Dec 3 '18 at 4:47









                plattyplatty

                3,370320




                3,370320






























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