Four dice are thrown simultaneously











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Four dice are thrown simultaneously. The probability that $4$ and $3$ appear on two of the dice given that $5$ and $6$ appear on the other two dice is:



a) $1/6$



b) $1/36$



c) $12/51$



d) None of these




Since the events are independent, I feel the probability is $1/6 times 1/6 = 1/36$



But answer is c. Why?










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  • Conditional probability, namely, $P(x) = P($each dice has $3, 4, 5$ and $6$ respectively $)/P(5$ and $6$ appear on $2$ dices$)$, where x is our event we want to find probability for.
    – Makina
    18 hours ago












  • Given the current list of choices, the correct answer is d).
    – kludg
    17 hours ago










  • Die is singular; dice is plural; dices is the third person singular form of the verb to dice, meaning to cut into small cubes.
    – N. F. Taussig
    15 hours ago















up vote
1
down vote

favorite
1













Four dice are thrown simultaneously. The probability that $4$ and $3$ appear on two of the dice given that $5$ and $6$ appear on the other two dice is:



a) $1/6$



b) $1/36$



c) $12/51$



d) None of these




Since the events are independent, I feel the probability is $1/6 times 1/6 = 1/36$



But answer is c. Why?










share|cite|improve this question
























  • Conditional probability, namely, $P(x) = P($each dice has $3, 4, 5$ and $6$ respectively $)/P(5$ and $6$ appear on $2$ dices$)$, where x is our event we want to find probability for.
    – Makina
    18 hours ago












  • Given the current list of choices, the correct answer is d).
    – kludg
    17 hours ago










  • Die is singular; dice is plural; dices is the third person singular form of the verb to dice, meaning to cut into small cubes.
    – N. F. Taussig
    15 hours ago













up vote
1
down vote

favorite
1









up vote
1
down vote

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1






Four dice are thrown simultaneously. The probability that $4$ and $3$ appear on two of the dice given that $5$ and $6$ appear on the other two dice is:



a) $1/6$



b) $1/36$



c) $12/51$



d) None of these




Since the events are independent, I feel the probability is $1/6 times 1/6 = 1/36$



But answer is c. Why?










share|cite|improve this question
















Four dice are thrown simultaneously. The probability that $4$ and $3$ appear on two of the dice given that $5$ and $6$ appear on the other two dice is:



a) $1/6$



b) $1/36$



c) $12/51$



d) None of these




Since the events are independent, I feel the probability is $1/6 times 1/6 = 1/36$



But answer is c. Why?







probability






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share|cite|improve this question













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edited 15 hours ago









N. F. Taussig

42.3k93254




42.3k93254










asked 19 hours ago









Abcd

2,86611130




2,86611130












  • Conditional probability, namely, $P(x) = P($each dice has $3, 4, 5$ and $6$ respectively $)/P(5$ and $6$ appear on $2$ dices$)$, where x is our event we want to find probability for.
    – Makina
    18 hours ago












  • Given the current list of choices, the correct answer is d).
    – kludg
    17 hours ago










  • Die is singular; dice is plural; dices is the third person singular form of the verb to dice, meaning to cut into small cubes.
    – N. F. Taussig
    15 hours ago


















  • Conditional probability, namely, $P(x) = P($each dice has $3, 4, 5$ and $6$ respectively $)/P(5$ and $6$ appear on $2$ dices$)$, where x is our event we want to find probability for.
    – Makina
    18 hours ago












  • Given the current list of choices, the correct answer is d).
    – kludg
    17 hours ago










  • Die is singular; dice is plural; dices is the third person singular form of the verb to dice, meaning to cut into small cubes.
    – N. F. Taussig
    15 hours ago
















Conditional probability, namely, $P(x) = P($each dice has $3, 4, 5$ and $6$ respectively $)/P(5$ and $6$ appear on $2$ dices$)$, where x is our event we want to find probability for.
– Makina
18 hours ago






Conditional probability, namely, $P(x) = P($each dice has $3, 4, 5$ and $6$ respectively $)/P(5$ and $6$ appear on $2$ dices$)$, where x is our event we want to find probability for.
– Makina
18 hours ago














Given the current list of choices, the correct answer is d).
– kludg
17 hours ago




Given the current list of choices, the correct answer is d).
– kludg
17 hours ago












Die is singular; dice is plural; dices is the third person singular form of the verb to dice, meaning to cut into small cubes.
– N. F. Taussig
15 hours ago




Die is singular; dice is plural; dices is the third person singular form of the verb to dice, meaning to cut into small cubes.
– N. F. Taussig
15 hours ago










2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes

















up vote
0
down vote













Even if there are only two dice, the probability of observing $4$ and $3$ is not $1/6 times 1/6$, but rather, $1/18$, since the sample space is the set of ordered pairs $(a,b)$ where each $a, b in {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}$. Thus there are two desired outcomes $(4,3)$, $(3,4)$ out of $6^2 = 36$ possible outcomes.



When there are four dice, two of which you are told are $5$ and $6$, you must reason carefully and precisely. Given the set of all outcomes of four dice rolls, select those that show at least one $5$ and at least one $6$. Of these, how many show $3$ and $4$ on the other two dice?



Doing mathematics is not about "feelings." It is about showing and justifying your reasoning. Describing your calculation without providing a sound basis for why you are doing what you are doing, is not math.






share|cite|improve this answer





















  • But isn't it given that two events - 3 and 4 have surely happened? Then why to worry about that?
    – Abcd
    18 hours ago










  • I now think that the answer should be 1/18
    – Abcd
    18 hours ago










  • Why don't you actually try the calculation in the correct way, instead of just claiming that the answer "should" be something that isn't even one of the answer choices?
    – heropup
    18 hours ago


















up vote
0
down vote













The tricky part of the solution is to find the number of outcomes such that 2 dice land $5$ and $6$; it can be done using inclusions/exclusions.



Let $Omega$ be the set of all outcomes, of size $6^4$.
Let $S_5$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s, of size $5^4$.
Let $S_6$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $6$'s, of size $5^4$.
Let $S_{5,6}$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s no $6$'s, of size $4^4$.



Using inclusion/exclusion principle the number of outcomes that contain at least one $5$ and at least one $6$ is
$$6^4-5^4-5^4+4^4=302$$
The rest is simple, and the answer is $12/151$






share|cite|improve this answer





















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    2 Answers
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    2 Answers
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    up vote
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    Even if there are only two dice, the probability of observing $4$ and $3$ is not $1/6 times 1/6$, but rather, $1/18$, since the sample space is the set of ordered pairs $(a,b)$ where each $a, b in {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}$. Thus there are two desired outcomes $(4,3)$, $(3,4)$ out of $6^2 = 36$ possible outcomes.



    When there are four dice, two of which you are told are $5$ and $6$, you must reason carefully and precisely. Given the set of all outcomes of four dice rolls, select those that show at least one $5$ and at least one $6$. Of these, how many show $3$ and $4$ on the other two dice?



    Doing mathematics is not about "feelings." It is about showing and justifying your reasoning. Describing your calculation without providing a sound basis for why you are doing what you are doing, is not math.






    share|cite|improve this answer





















    • But isn't it given that two events - 3 and 4 have surely happened? Then why to worry about that?
      – Abcd
      18 hours ago










    • I now think that the answer should be 1/18
      – Abcd
      18 hours ago










    • Why don't you actually try the calculation in the correct way, instead of just claiming that the answer "should" be something that isn't even one of the answer choices?
      – heropup
      18 hours ago















    up vote
    0
    down vote













    Even if there are only two dice, the probability of observing $4$ and $3$ is not $1/6 times 1/6$, but rather, $1/18$, since the sample space is the set of ordered pairs $(a,b)$ where each $a, b in {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}$. Thus there are two desired outcomes $(4,3)$, $(3,4)$ out of $6^2 = 36$ possible outcomes.



    When there are four dice, two of which you are told are $5$ and $6$, you must reason carefully and precisely. Given the set of all outcomes of four dice rolls, select those that show at least one $5$ and at least one $6$. Of these, how many show $3$ and $4$ on the other two dice?



    Doing mathematics is not about "feelings." It is about showing and justifying your reasoning. Describing your calculation without providing a sound basis for why you are doing what you are doing, is not math.






    share|cite|improve this answer





















    • But isn't it given that two events - 3 and 4 have surely happened? Then why to worry about that?
      – Abcd
      18 hours ago










    • I now think that the answer should be 1/18
      – Abcd
      18 hours ago










    • Why don't you actually try the calculation in the correct way, instead of just claiming that the answer "should" be something that isn't even one of the answer choices?
      – heropup
      18 hours ago













    up vote
    0
    down vote










    up vote
    0
    down vote









    Even if there are only two dice, the probability of observing $4$ and $3$ is not $1/6 times 1/6$, but rather, $1/18$, since the sample space is the set of ordered pairs $(a,b)$ where each $a, b in {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}$. Thus there are two desired outcomes $(4,3)$, $(3,4)$ out of $6^2 = 36$ possible outcomes.



    When there are four dice, two of which you are told are $5$ and $6$, you must reason carefully and precisely. Given the set of all outcomes of four dice rolls, select those that show at least one $5$ and at least one $6$. Of these, how many show $3$ and $4$ on the other two dice?



    Doing mathematics is not about "feelings." It is about showing and justifying your reasoning. Describing your calculation without providing a sound basis for why you are doing what you are doing, is not math.






    share|cite|improve this answer












    Even if there are only two dice, the probability of observing $4$ and $3$ is not $1/6 times 1/6$, but rather, $1/18$, since the sample space is the set of ordered pairs $(a,b)$ where each $a, b in {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}$. Thus there are two desired outcomes $(4,3)$, $(3,4)$ out of $6^2 = 36$ possible outcomes.



    When there are four dice, two of which you are told are $5$ and $6$, you must reason carefully and precisely. Given the set of all outcomes of four dice rolls, select those that show at least one $5$ and at least one $6$. Of these, how many show $3$ and $4$ on the other two dice?



    Doing mathematics is not about "feelings." It is about showing and justifying your reasoning. Describing your calculation without providing a sound basis for why you are doing what you are doing, is not math.







    share|cite|improve this answer












    share|cite|improve this answer



    share|cite|improve this answer










    answered 18 hours ago









    heropup

    61.8k65997




    61.8k65997












    • But isn't it given that two events - 3 and 4 have surely happened? Then why to worry about that?
      – Abcd
      18 hours ago










    • I now think that the answer should be 1/18
      – Abcd
      18 hours ago










    • Why don't you actually try the calculation in the correct way, instead of just claiming that the answer "should" be something that isn't even one of the answer choices?
      – heropup
      18 hours ago


















    • But isn't it given that two events - 3 and 4 have surely happened? Then why to worry about that?
      – Abcd
      18 hours ago










    • I now think that the answer should be 1/18
      – Abcd
      18 hours ago










    • Why don't you actually try the calculation in the correct way, instead of just claiming that the answer "should" be something that isn't even one of the answer choices?
      – heropup
      18 hours ago
















    But isn't it given that two events - 3 and 4 have surely happened? Then why to worry about that?
    – Abcd
    18 hours ago




    But isn't it given that two events - 3 and 4 have surely happened? Then why to worry about that?
    – Abcd
    18 hours ago












    I now think that the answer should be 1/18
    – Abcd
    18 hours ago




    I now think that the answer should be 1/18
    – Abcd
    18 hours ago












    Why don't you actually try the calculation in the correct way, instead of just claiming that the answer "should" be something that isn't even one of the answer choices?
    – heropup
    18 hours ago




    Why don't you actually try the calculation in the correct way, instead of just claiming that the answer "should" be something that isn't even one of the answer choices?
    – heropup
    18 hours ago










    up vote
    0
    down vote













    The tricky part of the solution is to find the number of outcomes such that 2 dice land $5$ and $6$; it can be done using inclusions/exclusions.



    Let $Omega$ be the set of all outcomes, of size $6^4$.
    Let $S_5$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s, of size $5^4$.
    Let $S_6$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $6$'s, of size $5^4$.
    Let $S_{5,6}$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s no $6$'s, of size $4^4$.



    Using inclusion/exclusion principle the number of outcomes that contain at least one $5$ and at least one $6$ is
    $$6^4-5^4-5^4+4^4=302$$
    The rest is simple, and the answer is $12/151$






    share|cite|improve this answer

























      up vote
      0
      down vote













      The tricky part of the solution is to find the number of outcomes such that 2 dice land $5$ and $6$; it can be done using inclusions/exclusions.



      Let $Omega$ be the set of all outcomes, of size $6^4$.
      Let $S_5$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s, of size $5^4$.
      Let $S_6$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $6$'s, of size $5^4$.
      Let $S_{5,6}$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s no $6$'s, of size $4^4$.



      Using inclusion/exclusion principle the number of outcomes that contain at least one $5$ and at least one $6$ is
      $$6^4-5^4-5^4+4^4=302$$
      The rest is simple, and the answer is $12/151$






      share|cite|improve this answer























        up vote
        0
        down vote










        up vote
        0
        down vote









        The tricky part of the solution is to find the number of outcomes such that 2 dice land $5$ and $6$; it can be done using inclusions/exclusions.



        Let $Omega$ be the set of all outcomes, of size $6^4$.
        Let $S_5$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s, of size $5^4$.
        Let $S_6$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $6$'s, of size $5^4$.
        Let $S_{5,6}$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s no $6$'s, of size $4^4$.



        Using inclusion/exclusion principle the number of outcomes that contain at least one $5$ and at least one $6$ is
        $$6^4-5^4-5^4+4^4=302$$
        The rest is simple, and the answer is $12/151$






        share|cite|improve this answer












        The tricky part of the solution is to find the number of outcomes such that 2 dice land $5$ and $6$; it can be done using inclusions/exclusions.



        Let $Omega$ be the set of all outcomes, of size $6^4$.
        Let $S_5$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s, of size $5^4$.
        Let $S_6$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $6$'s, of size $5^4$.
        Let $S_{5,6}$ be the set of outcomes that contain no $5$'s no $6$'s, of size $4^4$.



        Using inclusion/exclusion principle the number of outcomes that contain at least one $5$ and at least one $6$ is
        $$6^4-5^4-5^4+4^4=302$$
        The rest is simple, and the answer is $12/151$







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered 16 hours ago









        kludg

        1,139611




        1,139611






























             

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